Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.291327 3.937926e-01 0.513434 0.661165 0.836391 1.035401 1.276265
2025-11-30 0.170015 2.945203e-01 0.463414 0.698529 1.006693 1.386713 1.880270
2025-12-07 0.096671 2.206717e-01 0.416893 0.721869 1.156660 1.728604 2.511303
2025-12-14 0.051575 1.627032e-01 0.370054 0.728231 1.278349 2.042126 3.131952
2025-12-21 0.024202 1.151465e-01 0.319678 0.712841 1.360455 2.303941 3.699416
2025-12-28 0.011516 8.724868e-02 0.292024 0.724599 1.479460 2.621763 4.358341
2026-01-04 0.004580 6.443017e-02 0.263324 0.725269 1.576585 2.910154 4.987484
2026-01-11 0.001126 4.362230e-02 0.226718 0.699728 1.623038 3.121051 5.511549
2026-01-18 0.000133 2.945556e-02 0.197835 0.680938 1.675492 3.340439 6.053854
2026-01-25 0.000002 2.124756e-02 0.181455 0.684772 1.767027 3.624356 6.701275
2026-02-01 NaN 1.310107e-02 0.155796 0.658256 1.796020 3.805363 7.196447
2026-02-08 NaN 1.036104e-02 0.152620 0.688509 1.937881 4.179379 8.000483
2026-02-15 NaN 6.821395e-03 0.139628 0.689734 2.023799 4.467678 8.688897
2026-02-22 NaN 5.905771e-03 0.143894 0.742542 2.221526 4.957169 9.710889
2026-03-01 NaN 4.498175e-03 0.141466 0.774448 2.377378 5.380138 10.639194
2026-03-08 NaN 2.942371e-03 0.133024 0.785022 2.487655 5.727103 11.455027
2026-03-15 NaN 1.511311e-03 0.118536 0.770758 2.541037 5.974222 12.115563
2026-03-22 NaN 8.931750e-04 0.112479 0.784187 2.657326 6.338037 12.974316
2026-03-29 NaN 4.252494e-04 0.103930 0.785412 2.744693 6.651257 13.756188
2026-04-05 NaN 1.041325e-04 0.089741 0.758653 2.762588 6.836006 14.329033
2026-04-12 NaN 1.196709e-05 0.078470 0.738892 2.794435 7.046614 14.948651
2026-04-19 NaN 4.227442e-07 0.072959 0.743018 2.885514 7.371725 15.767271
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.061973 0.714964 2.891328 7.532918 16.310841